EP 38 Record number of asset classes are negative for the year, democrats win the house and are we really winning the trade war.m4a

November 9, 2018

EP 38 Record number of asset classes are negative for the year, democrats win the house and are we really winning the trade war?

 

 

 

 

 

Today we are going to talk  about several key data points going on with the stock and bond markets that the traditional media seems to be ignoring.  I’ve got about 25 articles I’m going to tear through and I know you will find this informative and if you do find this informative please make sure to rate 5 stars on itunes and if you are particularly awesome you can even write a comment in the ratings as that helps expand our reach as this knowledge is not common knowledge and the more people and patriots that can save themselves and others the better chance we and our kids and grandkids have at having a future.

 

Schedule a free 15 minute phone call to see if your portfolio is protected by heading to www.thelibertyadvisor.com

 

Show notes:

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-01/record-number-assets-are-down-year

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-10-27/paranoid-traders-have-seen-market-only-twice-1970s-stagflation-and-global-financial

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-04/hedge-fund-cio-if-most-important-market-correlation-does-not-flip-it-would-be

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-02/feds-balance-sheet-shrinks-most-record-qe-unwind-hits-321-billion

https://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/news/2016/10/27/amazon-misses-earnings-stock-down-5/92843908/

 

https://www.thestreet.com/story/13545784/1/apple-misses-big-on-earnings-slashes-revenue-outlook.html

 

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-economy-tradefigures/u-s-trade-gap-widens-deficit-with-china-rises-to-record-high-idUSKCN1N71DL

 

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PAYEMS

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-05/treasury-sell-record-amount-debt-yields-verge-breakout

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-07/mortgage-applications-plummet-18-year-lows-rates-hit-2010-highs

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-02/mortgage-bonds-suffer-worst-month-2-years-marginal-buyer-fed-pulls-out

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-10-29/americans-are-now-trapped-their-homes-longest-period-ever

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-07/bond-traders-shocked-dismal-30y-auction-direct-bidder-collapse-continues

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-03/vix-futures-positioning-flips-net-long-seasonality-chart-warns-dotcom-repeat

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-02/feds-balance-sheet-shrinks-most-record-qe-unwind-hits-321-billion

https://www.thestreet.com/jim-cramer/bad-news-is-good-news-cramers-mad-money-recap-nov-8-14775078?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO&yptr=yahoo

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

00:0000:00

EP 37 Is this the start of a Bear Market and how The Liberty Advisor is managing his clients risk

October 23, 2018

 

 This podcast video starts with a still frame for the first 5 mins and then gets into the actual video.  In this video podcast I spend the first several minutes of the actual video discussing issues clients have brought up.

I then give a brief recap of my NY Trip, Recent Ironman then I get into:

 

Break down what Innovative Advisory Group is, vs TD vs Liberty Advisor Etc

13 mins in is where the financial market podcast begins

20 min mark talk about importance of sequence of return risk and will be a great thing to rewatch if you’ve seen it or to keep in mind as we’re in the late innings of this ball game.  In the late stages the market can go up the most.  I remember buying Ethereum at $70 and feeling like an idiot but it went to 1200 and settled at $200 so the point of the story is no one knows where the top is but having risk management strategies in place is paramount

28 min mark we get into a cnbc clip where a former fed gov compares the markets using a heroin and cocaine analogy

 

30 min mark I go back to the archives where I warned that one of the two worst things to do with your money is to bet against a certain index and two weeks later people that were foolish enough to do exactly that lost over 90% of their money.

 

 

This video is for informational purposes only.  Many of you watching this are my current clients so talk to your advisor aka me if you have any questions and if you aren’t a client what are you waiting for.  With that said any mention of individual stocks or indexes is just for educational and illustrative purposes only and aren’t meant to be buy r sell recommendations.  Past performance is no indication of future returns and don’t put all your money in Bitcoin.

 

 

 Client Video Podcast:

https://youtu.be/ycp0ciYgX1U

 

 

 

 

 Show Notes:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ecFyOZ-nwXM   Richard Fisher   30 seconds and 1 min

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AJCbdze8mEA  20%

 

http://libertarianadvisor.com/2018/02/12/01-25-18-declare-independence-ernest-hancock-tim-picciott/    38 -             39.50

 

https://www.etfstrategy.com/volatility-blow-up-leads-to-inverse-vix-etn-casualty-38482/

 

 

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-05/fed-chair-makes-striking-admission-we-have-short-volatility-position

 

 

www.howitsrigged.com

www.sequenceofreturnrisk.com

 

00:0000:00

EP 36. The Liberty Advisor gives his contrarian case for stock market going down…. 2 days before dow starts to decline

October 16, 2018

In what was originally intended to be a client only video. Tim Picciott CFP(R) CRPC(R) gives his contrarian views on the economy and why he thinks the "good" news will ultimately lead to the interest rates going substantially higher which could be the catalsyt for the entire house of cards coming down. If you are close to retirement you will not want to miss this.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ONQzS_Okc7E

 

 

Show notes:

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-10-01/worse-dot-com-bubble-money-losing-companies-are-going-public-record-rate

http://performance.morningstar.com/funds/etf/total-returns.action?t=ITB&region=USA&culture=en_US

http://performance.morningstar.com/funds/etf/total-returns.action?t=CARZ&region=USA&culture=en_US

 

https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnys/db/quote.html#Membership%20Popover%20Premium

 

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/financials?p=AMZN

 

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX?p=NFLX&.tsrc=fin-srch

 

http://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe/

 

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4196908-u-s-government-fork-half-trillion-service-debt-2018

 

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/08/06/jp-morgans-jamie-dimon-cautions-10-year-treasury-note-rate-to-hit-5-percent.html

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/inline-images/ABOOK-Sept-2018-Corp-Profits-Equities-QE3.png?itok=6CR4xJzF

 

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/07/02/corporate-buybacks-are-the-only-thing-keeping-the-stock-market-afloat.html

 

http://usdebtclock.org/

 

00:0000:00

The Brett Kavanaugh Circus

October 1, 2018

In this podcast which was taped via facebook live.  Tim explains how he went from being a skeptic of Judge Kavanaugh ( I'll always hold him accountable) to a supporter of the Presidents pick.

 

We start by examing the Judge's ties to the Bush's, Clintons and his pro NSA stance.  We then get into the flimsy allegations and the CIA connections between DR Ford and the agency.  The ties are numerous, deep and after closely following politics for a very long time... not surprising.

 

Hope you enjoy. 

 

 

 

 

Show Notes:

https://stonecoldtruth.com/the-supreme-court-a-mistake-the-president-should-avoid/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XFSWJOSduDg

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lD7qzH4ob3Y

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news-white-house/supreme-court-nominee-brett-kavanaughs-defense-nsa-phone-surveillance-confirmation-question

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RTBxPPx62s4

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-10-01/rachel-mitchell-memo-highlights-weaknesses-ford-testimony

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4J5Olrg6PYg

https://thegodofrage.wordpress.com/2018/09/20/kavanaugh-accuser-christine-ford-donated-to-clinton-campaign-and-dnc-is-daughter-of-cia-operative-and-vp-of-security/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AW9cos7_KnU

https://twitter.com/ASavageNation

 

 

 

http://defeattheglobalist.com/

00:0000:00

Episode 34 Whats going on in the Crypto market, Elon Musk smokes weed and twitter bans Alex Jones

September 7, 2018

On this episode Tim goes over the state of the crypto markets and gives his thoughts on what has happened recently and what might happen.

He also touches on the Elon Musk takes a hit of Cannabis hysteria sweeping over social media as well as Alex Jones who is no longer on social media.

www.thelibertyadvisor/lp

00:0000:00

Episode 33. Trump signs retirement executive order and reflecting on John McCain

August 31, 2018

In this episode we cover the recent executive order which allows small business owners to associate together to get better pricing on their 401(K) plans.   We also cover what the fake news media doesn't when it comes to the treachery of John McCain RIP.  

 

This is the IRA vs Roth IRa video that was referenced: http://www.thelibertyadvisor.com/2016/10/06/ira-vs-roth-ira/

00:0000:00

Shadow Banning goes mainstream. How I went from 1000 followers a day to Zero overnight

August 13, 2018

Flashback to Nov 2016.  At the time my Libertarian Advisor facebook page was taking off.  I'd seen 32k people follow the page the first 2.5 months it was created then boom shadow ban.  I never made a video on this because the message was never about me, but now that this is a main stream issue I want to share with you my experience and also highlight the numerous whisltle-blowers infowars has covered over the years and the many alternative journalist whose careers were ignited via Alex Jones and Infowars.

 

In this episode we also go over the video's that caused the Alex Jones page to become deplatformed and even show one of the video's.  Notice how the Fake News media doesn't actually point to the crimes of Alex Jones.  They only point to what other MSM has written about and never actually show what he said in its entirety.  Since we are not fake news we will show you the actual video and you can decide.

 

Please rate and share my podcast.  If you would like to follow me please check me out on decentralized platforms like Dtube and Steemit.  

 

https://d.tube/#!/v/timpicciott/2iqhmn1r

 

www.steemit.com/timpicciott

 

 

 

00:0000:00

The Perfect Financial Storm is Brewing

May 8, 2018

In this short podcast, Tim discusses the Fed's ongoing Bond sale program (quantitative tightening).   He pairs this with the ongoing treasury sales of over $100bn per month and postulates where he see's this heading and what you can do to protect yourself.  We initially ran into trouble uploading this but after we created this we saw that Jamie Dimon of JP Morgan Chase issued simillar warnings.  We have not been on the same side of the table with Jamie very often but we hope you enjoy this quick "podcast"

00:0000:00

Everything will be fine until the day its not.

April 30, 2018

In this podcast Tim breaks down the latest GDP numbers and tells you exactly how this number is rigged.

 

Tim also covers how the Government distorts the Unemployment rate and inflation data while comparing statement Trump made as a candidate vs statements he’s making now that he’s President.

 

In one Case Candidate Trump said "5.3 percent unemployment -- that is the biggest joke there is in this country.”  He also went on to describe it as "such a phony number."  http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2015/sep/30/donald-trump/donald-trump-says-unemployment-rate-may-be-42-perc/

 

 

We also get into the effect increasing interest rates have on your portfolio and how this is the main catalyst for what could ultimately prick the market bubble.

 

Tim discusses the Federal Reserve’s program to sell bonds and the pressures this will have on interest rates and ways to potentially invest as  a result of what he see’s coming.

 

This is a video podcast where you can follow along but don’t fret if you are listening to this as Tim narrates all the charts and graphs he references.

 

Lastly Tim goes over his predictions for the midterms and how that could spell disaster for Trump’s economic “recovery”.

 

This is an action packed podcast… as action packed as a podcast about interest rates can be that you won’t want to miss.

 

To receive your copy of “How it’s Rigged”  Please shoot us an email at: info@thelibertyadvisor.com

 

 

 

 

 

 

00:0000:00