The Liberty Advisor Show W/ Tim Picciott

TIM PICCIOTT 2019 TDV KEYNOTE "CRISIS RETIRING" DELIVERED AT ANARCHAPULCO

 

During this talk Tim Picciott CFP(R) CRPC(R) breaks down numerous important topics that almost no other financial advisor delves into.

 

You can still TEXT TDV to 741441. In the body of the message type in TDV and send it to 741441. This will not be live forever.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Some of the topics that were addressed:

 

 

Recapping last years presentation on Crypto Trust Strategies 5:00- 9:00

 

 

Did Charlie Lee really sell his litecoin? 8:00 min mark

 

 

My journey to speaking here and the story of me losing my job / income for speaking there last year. 10 min mark

 

 

What I lost for speaking here in 2018 12:30 mark

 

 

Email / Podcast where I told my clients and TDV opt in subscribers how I positioned their accounts because I didn't believe the market hype. This was the day before the market started going down. 14:27 mark

 

 

Ernest Hancock's influence on me. 15:30 mark

 

 

IPFS project 16 min mark

 

 

7 Big Retirement Risk 16:50 Mark

 

 

The biggest retirement Risk of them all 19 min mark

 

 

Interest Rate Risk 20 min mark

 

 

Fed must choose whether they will save: Stock Market, Bond Market or the Dollar. 22 min mark

 

 

Market Risk - How the math work. 22.20 mark

 

 

How a bear market effects your retirement while you are in the withdrawal phase of your retirement. 22:50 Mark VERY IMPORTANT

 

 

Sequence of Return Risk 23 min mark - 25 min mark Very Important

 

 

Common ways "Liberty Community" invests 27:30 mark

 

 

60 / 40 portfolio 29:30 mark - 32 min mark

 

 

Recap 32 min mark

 

 

Free Ross special 33 min mark: This has been altered post conference. $2000 all in will get you a SDIRA. $500 to Ross Directly. $750 to lawyers. $750 to IAG. Details in addendum

 

 

Ways we can stay in touch 35 min mark

 

 

The math behind a "Crypto IRA" 36 min mark

 

 

Ernest Hancock's Endorsement 40:40 mark

 

 

 

Start writing or type / to choose a block

LAS EP 48 David Morgan - Well Known Precious Metals Investor

 

https://www.bitchute.com/video/FYEGfJnGdZmk/

 

David Morgan a big-picture thinker and his main focus is—educating people about honest money and the benefits of a sound financial system. His ideas can be seen in the movie Four Horsemen.  I'll have to check that out. I know I've heard about it.

 

As publisher of The Morgan Report, he has appeared and has been featured on: CNBC,(we won't hold that against him), Fox Business, The Wall Street Journal, Futures Magazine, The Gold Report and many numerous other publications.

 

The first time I heard about David was last year at Anarchapulco and from what I gathered about David from other attendee's is that his presentation was one that people didn't want to miss because of his impeccable reputation.  

Some of the topics we get into include:

I want to start with how you got into this space , Whats your background, how you got hooked up with the Anarchapulco community.

 

As a highly sought after speaker how can you compare Anarchapulco to other conferences you've spoke at in the past.

 

Can you give us any highlights on what you might be presenting this year?

 

Now I'm not super familar with your work but I'd like to know more about what insights you give to your subscribers...

          - are you telling them hey this gold / silver stock is a buy.  This rare metal is being used in catalytic converters and the paris accords are banning its import so you need to jump on it before it skyrockets?  

 

-Trace MAyor who is an early crypto adopter talked about you should have a certain amount of crypto you never sell and another amount you can trade based on oversold or overbought conditions.  Is that sort of your philosophy as well or do you just advise people stack silver.

-Do you recommend people keep silver as their money vs lets say $250k in the bank?

 

Money vs currency. 

 

For people listening who might not have a gazilion dollars what the best way for them to get started.  Go to a local dealer and buy junk silver.  Stack small amount of bullion they bought offline.  What are some things the average person needs to be aware of because I'm sure there are all sorts of nmeusmatic scams with ridiculous mark ups that targeted to 80 year olds or people just getting started who might not know any better.

 

I'd Like to shift gears into macroeconomics and this will probably take us back to silver once we talk about how messed up everything is.

For me the biggest thing going on is that you have the ECB who stopped their QE money printing program last month.  You have the FED rolling $50 bn off a month and to me we're in this make believe everything is awesome environment at least in america but at some point its only a matter of time before central banks start aggresively printing money again and at that point are investors finally going to realize that maybe we're trapped in zero percent rates forever and does that mean stock prices soar bc we're back to printing trillions or do stocks tank because investors realize we're in an artificial economy.  I think eventually stocks soar... I just don't know if they soar 10 years later or 2 months later but I do know it makes sense to have a plan in place and Precious metals and crypto for me should be part of that plan if you know what your doing.

 

Can you comment on what you see as the biggest things going on from a 100k foot view and how you see things playing out?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Back to silver investing.

Are there any income strategies people use regarding precious metals investing?

Do you think the markets are manipulated at all?

 I have a listener give a  shout out to Dr Phranq who wanted to know your thoughts on Barrick Gold.  they recently merged with Rand Gold and Dr Phranq said his father heard some mainstream economist who sounded very bullish on Barrick and he thought.... hey when MSM even acknowledges gold nows the time to get in before more of the mainstream catches on.

 

EP 46 DYI Guest Spot. Economic Update. Retirement Risk and Ernie's endorsement

 

Help us stay in touch for our inevitable purge: The Liberty Advisor .com/subscribe

Listen on to the mp3 on your favorite platforms itunes  Google Play Stitcher  Player FM Podbean

 

Livestreaming @ /thelibertyadvisor on Dlive, Twitch and Bitchute  Also on Facistbook

Streaming some of our shows on the following decentralized platforms..

https://dlive.tv/thelibertyadvisor

https://www.twitch.tv/thelibertyadvisor

https://www.bitchute.com/thelibertyadvisor

www.thelibertyadvisor.com to find the links for podcast subscriptions

Schedule a complimentary Investment consultation with Tim: Limited Time only

Inquire about Tim speaking on your show or conference: info@thelibertyadvisor.com

Sign up for the free Crypto course here: http://www.thelibertyadvisor.com/crypto-video-guide/

Interested in having Crypto in your IRA:
www.thelibertyadvisor.com/lp

 

Affiliate code for Anarchapulco / TDV Summit to save 10%

 

 

LAS e 32: Who could've predicted this financial downturn? Lost file from May 2018

EP 32 Who could've predicted this financial downturn? Lost file from May 2018

 

Before you know where we’re going you have to know where we’ve been and since I knew where we’ve been, I knew what the future more than likely had in store.

 

As you listen to this episode you’ll notice that it sounds pretty prophetic.  This was initially a client only production and I didn’t have the time to find the video file that went with the MP3 but nonetheless it is still very informative and will still give you a good indication of whats to come.

 

No video accompanying this file.  

 

Help us stay in touch for our inevitable purge: The Liberty Advisor .com/subscribe

Livestreaming @ /thelibertyadvisor on Dlive, Twitch and Bitchute

Streaming our Crypto Wealth Edition Podcast live Wednesdays at NOON EST on the following decentralized platforms..

https://dlive.tv/thelibertyadvisor

https://www.twitch.tv/thelibertyadvisor

https://www.bitchute.com/thelibertyadvisor

www.thelibertyadvisor.com to find the links for podcast subscriptions

Schedule a complimentary Investment consultation with Tim: Limited Time only

Inquire about Tim speaking on your show or conference: info@thelibertyadvisor.com

Sign up for the free course here: http://www.thelibertyadvisor.com/crypto-video-guide/

Interested in having Crypto in your IRA:
www.thelibertyadvisor.com/lp

 

Affiliate code for Anarchapulco / TDV Summit to save 10%

Prequel to Tim & John Show e 1: John Sneisen Breaks Down the Everything Bubble

Watch full video here: https://www.bitchute.com/video/cNywcBNNCRbC/

 

 

Support John by purchasing his book here: https://www.amazon.com/Canada-Greatest-Economy-World-yourself/dp/1988497051

Subscribe on youtube here: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCLdZo0Mkh_z2IQZSmD8Iy0Q/videos

 

 

 

Today we are joined by economic analyst Author Researcher John Sneisen

You can find John’s work on World Alternative Media where Josh Sigurdson and John have really built

Quite the impressive following.  They’ve really been growing like crazy which is great to see but they are not overnight successes.  Josh and John have been pumping out content for years and its actually amazing to see the amount of content you guys put out especially since Josh is editing the videos himself.

 

One of the reasons I wanted to bring John on the program is because he’s one of the few economic analysts that A knows what s going on and B didn’t capitulate in the face of everyone telling us we were in the greatest economy in the history of the world.

I also want to point out that John is coming to us from Canada today and really this is not just an American economic situation that is unfolding its really a global situation that’s going on.

Probably a good place to start might be to actually talk about what’s going on in Canada as like most ignorant Americans I don’t pay a ton of attention to Canada but it does seem that reliance on oil and foreign real estate buyers could pose a problem. 

To me it seems that the Vancouver real estate market can’t keep going up at the same rate its been going up and two years ago I was having a discussion with a buddy of mine and I told him I thought shorting Canadian housing and DB could be catalysts but its not just Canada its also Australia and I know you’ve done some reporting on that as well.

 

 

You won't want to miss John's inaugural appearance on the show

 

Topics of Discussion:

Economic Situation with Canada and Australia 

US Bond Market

Federal Reserve

2020 Election / Trump walking into a trap

Us Economic Outlook

LAS e 29: The China Trade deal doesn't matter. Bear Markets don't need excuses to crash.

 Full video here:  https://youtu.be/1wbYFnHxOfY

 

Hi Everyone this is Tim Picciott  it is Dec 4^th and welcome to episode 40 of the liberty advisor podcast

 

Man what a tale of two days.  Yesteday the market was up over 500 points and today the dow finished down nearly 800 points.

 

Other big losers included Nasdaq down 3.8  russel down 4.4     S&P down 3.24% and the ten year treasury is back under 3% at 2.912%.

 

Yesterday a lot of people were optimistic that we’ve come to an agreement with the Chinese.

 

To me is doesn’t matter whether we have an agreement or not.  This crash is has been baking for a long time and now that the FED was dumb enough to believe they could raise rates this many times the crash that has been baking is almost ready to be taken out of the oven

 

And whether the Chinese and the us have a trade agreement is material.  Now if the 25% tariffs were enacted katy bar the bar boom instant recession.  That would be like a ton of lead weights to break this camels back and we’re at the point where this camel couldn’t handle another straw but in terms of taking weight off the camel this agreement does very little in terms of taking pressure off.  It only avoiding a major self inflicted wound

 

 

All along I thought the president was just BS ing.  There was no way he could enact those types of tariffs.  Doug Casey called tariffs an embargo on yourself and this is exactly what it is in my opinion.

Mike Tyson once said everyone has a plan till I punch them in the face except this time we’d be punching ourselves in the face.

 

So this temporary agreement did nothing meaningful except avert a self imposed disaster at the end of this month.

And if you are the Chinese yo are getting the raw end of this deal not the Chinese.

The Chinese give us real gooods and we give them digital Iou’s

 

 

If we head to trumps twitter feed you see his tweet from earier today about being a tariff man.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bond market not buying it

 

 

Major headwind of QT that has nothing to do with fed funds rates

 

All of this spells disaster.

 

 

If purpose of WE was to raise assets now those asset prices are coming down.  Prepare yourself today.

LAS e 27: Record number of asset classes are negative for the year, democrats win the house and are we really winning the trade war.m4a

Full video here:https://youtu.be/F92QSZ0jo4s

EP 38 Record number of asset classes are negative for the year, democrats win the house and are we really winning the trade war?

 

 

 

 

 

 

Today we are going to talk  about several key data points going on with the stock and bond markets that the traditional media seems to be ignoring.  I’ve got about 25 articles I’m going to tear through and I know you will find this informative and if you do find this informative please make sure to rate 5 stars on itunes and if you are particularly awesome you can even write a comment in the ratings as that helps expand our reach as this knowledge is not common knowledge and the more people and patriots that can save themselves and others the better chance we and our kids and grandkids have at having a future.

 

Schedule a free 15 minute phone call to see if your portfolio is protected by heading to www.thelibertyadvisor.com

 

Show notes:

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-01/record-number-assets-are-down-year

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-10-27/paranoid-traders-have-seen-market-only-twice-1970s-stagflation-and-global-financial

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-04/hedge-fund-cio-if-most-important-market-correlation-does-not-flip-it-would-be

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-02/feds-balance-sheet-shrinks-most-record-qe-unwind-hits-321-billion

https://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/news/2016/10/27/amazon-misses-earnings-stock-down-5/92843908/

 

https://www.thestreet.com/story/13545784/1/apple-misses-big-on-earnings-slashes-revenue-outlook.html

 

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-economy-tradefigures/u-s-trade-gap-widens-deficit-with-china-rises-to-record-high-idUSKCN1N71DL

 

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PAYEMS

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-05/treasury-sell-record-amount-debt-yields-verge-breakout

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-07/mortgage-applications-plummet-18-year-lows-rates-hit-2010-highs

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-02/mortgage-bonds-suffer-worst-month-2-years-marginal-buyer-fed-pulls-out

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-10-29/americans-are-now-trapped-their-homes-longest-period-ever

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-07/bond-traders-shocked-dismal-30y-auction-direct-bidder-collapse-continues

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-03/vix-futures-positioning-flips-net-long-seasonality-chart-warns-dotcom-repeat

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-02/feds-balance-sheet-shrinks-most-record-qe-unwind-hits-321-billion

https://www.thestreet.com/jim-cramer/bad-news-is-good-news-cramers-mad-money-recap-nov-8-14775078?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO&yptr=yahoo

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LAS e 26: Is this the start of a Bear Market? How The Liberty Advisor is managing his clients risk

 Full video here: https://youtu.be/lzWHkhZiL6o

 

 This podcast video starts with a still frame for the first 5 mins and then gets into the actual video.  In this video podcast I spend the first several minutes of the actual video discussing issues clients have brought up.

I then give a brief recap of my NY Trip, Recent Ironman then I get into:

 

Break down what Innovative Advisory Group is, vs TD vs Liberty Advisor Etc

13 mins in is where the financial market podcast begins

20 min mark talk about importance of sequence of return risk and will be a great thing to rewatch if you’ve seen it or to keep in mind as we’re in the late innings of this ball game.  In the late stages the market can go up the most.  I remember buying Ethereum at $70 and feeling like an idiot but it went to 1200 and settled at $200 so the point of the story is no one knows where the top is but having risk management strategies in place is paramount

28 min mark we get into a cnbc clip where a former fed gov compares the markets using a heroin and cocaine analogy

 

30 min mark I go back to the archives where I warned that one of the two worst things to do with your money is to bet against a certain index and two weeks later people that were foolish enough to do exactly that lost over 90% of their money.

 

 

This video is for informational purposes only.  Many of you watching this are my current clients so talk to your advisor aka me if you have any questions and if you aren’t a client what are you waiting for.  With that said any mention of individual stocks or indexes is just for educational and illustrative purposes only and aren’t meant to be buy r sell recommendations.  Past performance is no indication of future returns and don’t put all your money in Bitcoin.

 

 

 Client Video Podcast:

https://youtu.be/ycp0ciYgX1U

 

 

 

 

 Show Notes:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ecFyOZ-nwXM   Richard Fisher   30 seconds and 1 min

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AJCbdze8mEA  20%

 

http://libertarianadvisor.com/2018/02/12/01-25-18-declare-independence-ernest-hancock-tim-picciott/    38 -             39.50

 

https://www.etfstrategy.com/volatility-blow-up-leads-to-inverse-vix-etn-casualty-38482/

 

 

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-05/fed-chair-makes-striking-admission-we-have-short-volatility-position

 

 

www.howitsrigged.com

www.sequenceofreturnrisk.com

 

LAS e 25: A Contrarian case for stock market going down.... 2 days before dow starts to decline

>

In what was originally intended to be a client only video. Tim Picciott CFP(R) CRPC(R) gives his contrarian views on the economy and why he thinks the "good" news will ultimately lead to the interest rates going substantially higher which could be the catalsyt for the entire house of cards coming down. If you are close to retirement you will not want to miss this.

 

full video:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ONQzS_Okc7E

 https://youtu.be/ONQzS_Okc7E

 

 

Show notes:

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-10-01/worse-dot-com-bubble-money-losing-companies-are-going-public-record-rate

http://performance.morningstar.com/funds/etf/total-returns.action?t=ITB®ion=USA&culture=en_US

http://performance.morningstar.com/funds/etf/total-returns.action?t=CARZ®ion=USA&culture=en_US

 

https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnys/db/quote.html#Membership%20Popover%20Premium

 

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/financials?p=AMZN

 

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX?p=NFLX&.tsrc=fin-srch

 

http://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe/

 

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4196908-u-s-government-fork-half-trillion-service-debt-2018

 

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/08/06/jp-morgans-jamie-dimon-cautions-10-year-treasury-note-rate-to-hit-5-percent.html

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/inline-images/ABOOK-Sept-2018-Corp-Profits-Equities-QE3.png?itok=6CR4xJzF

 

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/07/02/corporate-buybacks-are-the-only-thing-keeping-the-stock-market-afloat.html

 

http://usdebtclock.org/

 

LAS e 22: Wall Street Celebrates longest bull market rally ever... but is it? And Potential black swans that could derail the rally

Watch full video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XQLdyojIOVY

In this episode Tim gives you the real scoop and you won't want to miss his insights into the potential triggers that may cause this rally to end.

 

Articles referenced:

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-08-21/7-measures-expected-return-none-them-good

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-08-21/longest-bull-market-in-history-comes-with-jumbo-sized-asterisk

http://www.multpl.com/10-year-treasury-rate

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-08-20/italy-urges-ecb-extend-qe-protect-speculative-attack

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-japan-stocks-boj/boj-may-be-stealth-tapering-in-stock-markets-analysts-say-idUSKBN1L20VS

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-the-swiss-central-banks-stock-is-surging-2017-08-25

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-the-swiss-central-banks-stock-is-surging-2017-08-25

 

Please follow us on dtube and steemit.  https://steemit.com/@timpicciott

Video to follow